US media: Hamas may agree to temporarily stay in Gaza after the ceasefire of the Israeli army. On the 12th, the US media reported that the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) had softened its negotiating position and might agree to temporarily stay in Gaza after the ceasefire. Hamas has not yet responded to this news. (Xinhua News Agency)Beizheng 50 rose more than 1%, Huayang Racing Car had a daily limit of 30CM, and Ricky Zhizao, Fuheng New Materials and Bai Xinglong rose more than 10%.What is the significance of fiscal and monetary policy adjustment? Expert: The path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy has been clarified. The Central Economic Work Conference, which closed yesterday, pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. What kind of signals are released behind these policies? In terms of fiscal policy, the Central Economic Work Conference requested that a more active fiscal policy should be implemented next year, so as to improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance of special bonds for local governments, optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. Experts said that these requirements clarified the path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy. Focusing on vigorously boosting consumption, the Central Economic Work Conference requires that special actions to boost consumption should be implemented next year, the basic pension for retirees should be appropriately raised, and the "two new" policies (large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods) should be implemented. (CCTV News)
On the 13th, SSE 50 index futures fell by 2.58%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, SSE 50 index futures closed at 2,412, up or down by -2.58%, with a turnover of 53,000 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 7,398 lots. The total number of contracts of SSE 50 index futures was 91,500 lots, an increase of 25,700 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 88,200 lots, an increase of 2,257 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 113,700 lots, an increase of 1,701 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)The White House commuted the sentences of 1,500 people in one day, and Biden pardoned 39 people in one day. According to Agence France-Presse reported on December 12, US President Biden commuted the sentences of nearly 1,500 people and pardoned 39 people at the end of his term. The White House said that this was the "largest" leniency action in a single day in American history. Biden announced on the 12th that about 1,500 people would be commuted, and at the same time, 39 non-violent offenders would be pardoned, saying that they had turned over a new leaf and were committed to making the community safer. (Reference message)Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.
US Secretary of State Blinken: discussed the ceasefire in Gaza with Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan. Blinken: All parties reached a broad consensus on what we want to see in Syria. We discussed the necessity of continuing efforts to crack down on the extremist organization "Islamic State". We have seen encouraging signs in the past few weeks that a ceasefire in Gaza is possible.Ukrainian energy company DTEK: Russia caused "serious damage" to the thermal power plant in the attack on energy in the morning local time.Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14